
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
113
2.6kṀ34kresolved Oct 10
100%99.0%
Maria Corina Machado
0.0%
The International Court of Justice
0.0%
UNESCO
0.0%
Philippe Lazzarini
0.0%
Joe Biden
0.0%
UNRWA
0.0%
Alexei Navalny
0.0%
Kyaw Moe Tun
0.0%
José Andrés
0.0%
World Uyghur Congress
0.0%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
0.0%
OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights
0.0%
Timnit Gebru
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
NATO
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.1%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0.1%
Yulia Navalnaya
0.0%
Netanyahu
0.0%
JD Vance
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Just added Manifold, I'm sure we can do it! 💪
Assuming this splits equally among all winners? I'd recommend resolving to "Other" for all portions that are not listed at market close! So like, let's say it's joint between Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and JD Vance, but only the first two are listed at market close, resolving 33/33/33 between Trump, Musk, and Other? Or you could get around this by just adding the winning option and resolving, when it becomes known?