🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
78
2.5kṀ16k
Dec 2
30%
Other
15%
Yulia Navalnaya
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
8%
Donald Trump
6%
UNRWA
3%
NATO
3%
Julian Assange
1.9%
David Attenborough
1.7%
Greta Thunberg
1.5%
Antonio Guterres
1.4%
Bill Gates / Gates Foundation
1%
Vladimir Putin

Politics
US Politics
Culture
News
Nobel Prizes
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Just added Manifold, I'm sure we can do it! 💪

@TheAllMemeingEye

I'm sure that's just hedging, our victory is inevitable

bought Ṁ5 YES

There seem to be 2 entries for international court of justice, is one of them meant to be international criminal court?

sold Ṁ51 NO

2026 version -> /strutheo/which-person-or-organization-will-w-SScSncsdyd l

bought Ṁ50 NO

Assuming this splits equally among all winners? I'd recommend resolving to "Other" for all portions that are not listed at market close! So like, let's say it's joint between Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and JD Vance, but only the first two are listed at market close, resolving 33/33/33 between Trump, Musk, and Other? Or you could get around this by just adding the winning option and resolving, when it becomes known?

bought Ṁ100 NO

@bens lol @strutheo did you add Vance because of this?

bought Ṁ30 NO

@bens sounds good. or ill just add them,y eah

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