🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

113

2.6kṀ34k

resolved Oct 10

100%99.0%

Maria Corina Machado

0.0%

The International Court of Justice

0.0%

UNESCO

0.0%

Philippe Lazzarini

0.0%

Joe Biden

0.0%

UNRWA

0.0%

Alexei Navalny

0.0%

Kyaw Moe Tun

0.0%

José Andrés

0.0%

World Uyghur Congress

0.0%

Eliezer Yudkowsky

0.0%

OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

0.0%

Timnit Gebru

0.0%

Elon Musk

0.0%

NATO

0.0%

Donald Trump

0.1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

0.1%

Yulia Navalnaya

0.0%

Netanyahu

0.0%

JD Vance

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how the fuck did that leak

bought Ṁ10 NO

Are you guys on the committee or what

@ItsMe apparently they were!

bought Ṁ50 NO

any day now

reposted

Just added Manifold, I'm sure we can do it! 💪

@TheAllMemeingEye

I'm sure that's just hedging, our victory is inevitable

bought Ṁ5 YES

There seem to be 2 entries for international court of justice, is one of them meant to be international criminal court?

sold Ṁ51 NO

2026 version -> /strutheo/which-person-or-organization-will-w-SScSncsdyd l

bought Ṁ50 NO

Assuming this splits equally among all winners? I'd recommend resolving to "Other" for all portions that are not listed at market close! So like, let's say it's joint between Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and JD Vance, but only the first two are listed at market close, resolving 33/33/33 between Trump, Musk, and Other? Or you could get around this by just adding the winning option and resolving, when it becomes known?