Is there or will there be a successfully conducted "range" market on Manifold?

Question

I believe that Manifold's resolve-to-PROB feature means that Manifold basically already has "range" markets. Like if you want to predict how much money a famous painting will sell for, to pick a random example, you can specify a range, MIN to MAX, and then resolve the market to the fraction of the way from MIN to MAX the painting sells for.

Has anyone done something like that? Will they?

(Of course it would be much more convenient if Manifold supported range markets directly. But it seems like they could do that with essentially a simple interface layer on what they already have.)

Resolves to YES if I learn of such a market and it works correctly. Resolves to NO if such markets don't work correctly with Manifold's current market mechanism.

Related: https://manifold.markets/Cyril/will-manifold-implement-range-marke

@James adds: I think resolving PROB is a reasonable implementation for range. Gurkenglas commented that it doesn't allow you to bet on a specific distribution, which is true. It's implicitly something like a triangle around the current probability, where payoff declines linearly as you move away. You could imagine the payout dropping off more rapidly for a normal curve, for example.

And the bug (?) that @Yev encountered was apparently not related to resolving to PROB but involved "the phantom shares" thing (?) which should supposedly not be an issue with new markets?

Mar 8, 5:29pm: Discussion of the resolution: https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-all-the-no-traders-in-the-mark

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Mar 8, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

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