MANIFOLD
Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ160
Dec 31
55%
chance

I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.

This market will be resolved with YES if S has created and resolved a market by December 31, 2026 (N/A doesn't count). If she has created a market by December 31, 2026 that has not yet been resolved, then the deadline will be extended until resolution, provided the market is still active.

Disclaimer: I will make an initial purchase of NO shares and will not trade further until the market is resolved. S may trade on this market.

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