Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
Plus
16
Ṁ11582026
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution source is: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
I'll check the approval rating at 0900h ET on both days
Resolves N/A if 538 is discontinued or Trump is not president on resolution date
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
21% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
23% chance
Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
31% chance
Will Joe Biden have a positive net approval in his first term?
17% chance
Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?
44% chance
Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?
26% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
8% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
9% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
20% chance