Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

Plus

41

Ṁ2697

2026

60%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution source is: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

I'll check the approval rating at 0900h ET on both days

Resolves N/A if 538 is discontinued or Trump is not president on resolution date

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

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opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 50% order

Placed limit at 50%

i already feel bad about this line, which is kind of a lock. A more uncertain line would be ~15 points

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