From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
I will resolve based on Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if the net favorability rating of Donald Trump for December 20, 2025 is "Favorable" as reported by 538. The resolution will be based on the already-calculated net rating presented by 538.
1,000The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.
Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).