πŸ‘πŸ‘Ž Manifold Donald Trump approval
4
2.3kαΉ€567
resolved Jan 14
Resolved
N/A

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/market/manifold-leadership-approval-rating

Manifold's favorite president is about to dominate our lives again for four years so i figured to have a central place to check the people's pulse. YES = like, NO = no like. Permanently open market until he's no longer president.

  • Update 2025-10-01 (PST): - The market is set to never resolve, functioning as a permanent poll. (AI summary of creator comment)

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resolving N/A cause of unclear resolution and potential duplication

opened a αΉ€1,000 NO at 35% order

Read the text as resolves at the end of his term

How does this get resolved?

I want to ask the same.

@Quroe hadn't planned to resolve it at all as it's more of a poll but open to ideas

@dlin007 If you intend to eventually N/A this in the end, it will undo any profits and losses traders incur from trades while it was open, effectively making trades moot and not really indicative of anything beyond letting people war over monthly profits for League Rankings (assuming I understand what I'm talking about and that's how things actually work). You can ask mods to unrank this market to reduce that perverse incentive.

You might also consider resolving this to a community poll in the end. That might make this market predictive of some metric at the end of Trump's term.

Alternatively, you can set it to effectively never resolve and be a "stock," but that seems to not be what the original plan was from the description.

@Quroe > Alternatively, you can set it to effectively never resolve and be a "stock," but that seems to not be what the original plan was from the description.

that was indeed the plan

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