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MANIFOLD
πŸ‘πŸ‘Ž Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
484
αΉ€10kαΉ€1.2m
2525
51%
chance
Bet on love
Increased Creation Costs
Profile & Portfolio merged
Manifold.Love sunset
New Numeric market type
Browse ui update, color fill binary mc markets
Austin leaves Manifold team
1-99 bet limit on some markets
Mana economy changes
New mana USD prices
Mana transaction fees enabled
Pivot announcement
Pivot update delaying changes
Updated portfolio graphs
NA ability removed
Night before pivot selloff
Pivot: Spice/Points added, Mana devalued, Market cost changed
Creators earn 100% fee up to 1000
Higher question tiers
Play/Mini tier and expanded mc options
Manifest ends
Quick limit order buttons
Sum to 1 MC markets limited to 1-99%
paginated multi choice markets
James leaves to focus on Manicode
Sweepcash launch
Mana trader bonus returns
Txn fees removed
Re-enable ability to NA markets
Up/Down votes on comments
Mana loan system reintroduced
Boosts removed
Sweepcash fee changes
Market order liquidity change
Betting buttons/slider changes (again)
Slippage protection toggle
Pivot Back to Mana! Spice/Sweepcash removed!
Poll cost back down to 10M
numeric markets added (again)
New movement notifications & new user badge
New trades page
Edit columns in table view
trader bonus changes
The new "share bet" button
tips for market creators
Market drafts
Can duplicate limit orders
Posts are back
no more animated profile pics
There is now a forum tab [image]
Achievements added
the ghost of evan event
removing dms
dms back
predictle game added
loan change
charity is back
mnx launch
Introduce Prizes
Nov 3 2026 Changelog

Use mana to let the team know what you think about how they're running the website. 100% means everyone is happy with the direction Manifold is going and the team behind it, and 0% means something has probably gone tragically wrong.

  • Does not impact profit rankings

  • You get your mana back through loans over time

  • Permanently open market, will not resolve.

Other Approval Ratings:

/strutheo/what-will-manifolds-approval-rating

/strutheo/what-will-manifolds-approval-rating-69a6850abbfb

/strutheo/what-will-manifolds-approval-rating-d7689b01293f

/strutheo/what-will-manifolds-approval-rating-da311ac4ea95

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bought αΉ€68 YES

Hmm. Is it true we get loans on unranked markets currently?

Tons of changes. This is why I do it, I need approval. Please approve

https://manifold.markets/post/changelog-november-3rd?r=R2Vu

bought αΉ€50 NO

@Gen mostly cool but you wrote it with AI so I'm annoyed

@Stralor most of it is not AI, but it is by far the most efficient method to summarise the 100 PRs since the last changelog. Easier to edit on top. I don’t think anything is lost by using AI to structure it

Not a fan of how "Yap" works now.

@ProjectVictory open up yap to everyone! cc @Gen

@ProjectVictory how would you like it changed?

We are unlikely to open it up because of the high risk for spam, but maybe..

@Gen free yaps one day a week just to see the shenanigans

@ProjectVictory the cheapest manifold subscription is profitable in mana if you are a regular user of the site just from increased quest bonuses

@Gen Or, solve this riddle, and a simple math equation, capscha or otherwise, to deter unwanted content. A minimum membership duration of like a month, and a handfull of trades and markets to qualify.

@Gen Honestly I preferred the old explore tab, it wasn't perfect but better IMO.

I would like to have back ability to repost comments to specifically people following me, not necessarily the whole manifold.

As for reading the Yap tab - it feels completely irrelevant to my interests, some way of prioritizing people, markets and topics I follow would be great.

@ProjectVictory explore tab is back on the homepage! What if I make it so that yaps from people you follow appear in your explore feed, and make it easier to yap more things better (e.g. comments, posts, etc.) -- thoughts?

Pointed suggestions like this are super high value, and tells me exactly what to prioritise!

bought αΉ€100 YES

@Gen Appreciate how open to suggestions you are. I think yaps or even top level comments from people you're following in the explore tab would be good. As for yapping posts easier - I'm not sure, I was mostly ingoring the whole feature so far.

@ProjectVictory heh, I on the other hand never used the explore tab, because the stream was'nt really engaging, but did keep returning to yap

I started a companion poll measuring direct community sentiment about Manifold. Unlike this market, it measures opinions through votes rather than trading, so I'm curious how the two compare over time. It also makes it straightforward to compute statistics such as the mean and standard deviation of community sentiment. Feel free to vote and leave comments: /GilearFaeth/overall-how-happy-are-you-with-mani


Current results: mean = 61.7%, SD = 20.8%, n = 12, compared with the current Leadership Approval Rating of ~45%. It'll be interesting to see whether that gap grows, stays the same, or shrinks as more responses come in.

@GilearFaeth unfortunately any poll is a drifting snapshot! can't change your vote later

@Stralor That's true. My plan is to run these more than just once, maybe monthly, so each poll is a snapshot of sentiment at that point in time, so people can vote differently on the next one, and so on.

@GilearFaeth Maybe we could work something like this into a more regular in-built thing, and then build a perp market on top? (seems easy to manipulate, but, could be cool?)

Nonetheless, I appreciate you creating those polls, and we always appreciate participation in this market. I have been thinking for a while now that I should create another, "How can Manifold improve" type post, but it feels as though there is infinite work ahead of me already, and so it unfortunately gets delayed. Maybe soon (lol!)

edit: I need a "see results" option tho, lol

@Gen Both fine for me. One advantage of built-in is reaching a broader more representative audience than I can, unless someone boosts my poll, which is probably a waste of mana. πŸ˜† I'll try to remember to add "see results" next time. This time, I opted for multi-select, so if someone wants to vote 10%, 30%, 50%, 70%, or 90%, they can pick two adjacent options.

@strutheo Oops, somehow did not see this. Prior attempts at … something related but different from what I'm doing? πŸ€” πŸ˜„

Current poll: /GilearFaeth/overall-how-happy-are-you-with-mani-2NclI6SZCP

Results so far:

Zoomed-in scale:

@strutheo it is more about Mana purchases are moving to crypto + New signups will have ID verification than prizes IMO