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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
73
Ṁ1.4kṀ30k
2027
29%
Marine le Pen
22%
Edouard Philippe
13%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
11%
Other
5%
Jordan Bardella
4%
Gabriel Attal
3%
Dominique de Villepin
2%
Christine de Lagarde
2%
François Ruffin
1.4%
Manuel Bompard
1.2%
Jean Castex
1.1%
Bruno Le Maire

  • Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a French presidential election occurs in 2026 and there is no election in 2027, this market will resolve based on the 2026 election results.

Market context
Politics
Elections
France
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/Jack1/who-will-make-the-second-round-of-t

@dionisos how would this resolve if there is an election in 2026 and they don’t have one in 2027?

@NzJack0n Thanks for thinking about this edge case.
Then the 2026 election will count for this market.

Maybe add Dominique de Villepin?

https://www.mediapart.fr/journal/international/170125/l-echappee-dominique-de-villepin-faire-face-une-amerique-qui-se-moque-du-monde?utm_source=global&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=SharingApp&xtor=CS3-5

@ermitsou I think you can add it, if you want.
If not, I made a mistake.

@dionisos oops, yes indeed, I didn't notice I could, thanks

Similar question here :

https://manifold.markets/AlexandreHelicoidee/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f-11b98432cfee?r=QWxleGFuZHJlSGVsaWNvaWRlZQ

Man, Not looking good for France. Can't Macron just become president for life?

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