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MANIFOLD
Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party
76
Ṁ1kṀ7.1k
2027
22%
chance

Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.
Resolve N/A if there is a general disagreement about him/her being left-wing or not.
Resolve no otherwise.

  • Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a candidate wins whose left-wing status is disputed (e.g. PS), and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.

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Is Macron's Renaissance left-wing? According to Wikipedia -- no. But for this market's purposes?

predictedYES

@Inosen_Infinity No, he isn’t left-wing at all

@dionisos more generally you might want to list major parties that you consider left wing. Some people for example don't consider PS as left wing.

@Jo2e2b you are right. I think PS should count as left, let's se if someone disagree and i will add it to the description

@dionisos PS is a pro finance, pro capitalist party. Definitively not left. A left party would not give 40b (1/3 of the yearly country budget) to CAC40 companies in the name of economic growth.

@GP I personally agree, but it is my opinion and they are still generally considered left, this is why I thought I should count it as left for this market.
Anyway I think they will not win and this case will not be a problem. But if they win and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.

Honestly I should have thought about it a little more when I created the market, but it would be unfair to change it now. I hope we will get a clear case (which is not far-right).