Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
18
Ṁ1.6kṀ5.4k2027
56%
Jordan Bardella
40%
Edouard Philippe
34%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
30%
Gabriel Attal
13%
Dominique de Villepin
11%
Marine Le Pen
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
5%
François Ruffin
4%
François Hollande
4%
Fabien Roussel
4%
Bruno Retailleau
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
4%
Xavier Bertrand
4%
Éric Zemmour
4%
Raphaël Glucksmann
3%
David Lisnard
2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia
If no one receives a majority (50%+1) in the first round, the 2 candidates with the most votes advance to the second round. This market resolves to the top 2 candidates in the first round.
If someone gets a majority of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve yes to that candidate only.
Resolves based on the next French election, even if it is early, in 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
8% chance
Who will be the next president of France?
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Will the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
90% chance
Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
22% chance
Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
77% chance
Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party
29% chance
Sort by:
@Jack1 it's not broken. It would be broken if it was below 200 IMO. Probably realistic from my perspective is getting it to 200 + 2x number of options
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
8% chance
Who will be the next president of France?
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Will the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
90% chance
Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
22% chance
Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
77% chance
Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party
29% chance