Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
2
Ṁ1.6kṀ2k2027
55%
Jordan Barbella
55%
Edouard Philippe
50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
45%
Gabriel Attal
26%
Marine Le Pen
20%
Dominique de Villepin
20%
François Hollande
20%
David Lisnard
20%
Bruno Retailleau
20%
Raphaël Glucksmann
14%
Laurent Wauquiez
14%
Xavier Bertrand
10%
Éric Zemmour
8%
Bernard Cazeneuve
6%
François Ruffin
5%
Fabien Roussel
2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia
If no one receives a majority (50%+1) in the first round, the 2 candidates with the most votes advance to the second round. This market resolves to the top 2 candidates in the first round.
If someone gets a majority of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve yes to that candidate only.
Resolves based on the next French election, even if it is early, in 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
37% chance
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Who will be the next president of France?
Will the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
91% chance
Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party
29% chance
Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
16% chance
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
7% chance