Will Trump's approval rate (Silver Bulletin) dip under 40% in 2025?
14
100Ṁ297Dec 31
48%
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https://www.natesilver.net/i/156658365/the-topline-so-just-how-popular-is-trump
A single datapoint in the "Do Americans approve or disapprove of Donald Trump?" approval/disapproval chart dipping under 40.0% is enough to resolve YES. Otherwise resolves NO at the end of the year (GMT/UTC).
Resolves N/A if the Silver Bulletin a) ceases to exist b) ceases to publicly (free of charge) publish Trump's approval/disapproval or c) changes their algorithm in a way that significantly affects the aforementioned statistic, to the point that post-change statistics are not comparable to pre-change statistics (a blog post or similar detailing the changes has to be publicly posted).
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