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MANIFOLD
On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
5
Ṁ1kṀ2.4k
Sep 27
64%
x ≥ 5
33%
x ≥ 10
17%
x ≥ 15
10%
x ≥ 20
6%
x ≥ 25
4%
x ≥ 30
3%
x ≥ 35

Question

On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on September 27th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day October 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.

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