Question
On May 31st 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Resolution Criteria
Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on May 31st 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.
If the data are not available by end of day June 30th, I will resolve each market to NA.
Related Markets
Shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
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@JasonMendoza2008 I like that idea. Here you go:
https://manifold.markets/dfish/on-june-28th-2026-what-will-the-7da
@JasonMendoza2008 same here. In fact, I wish there was a way to add two dimensions within a single market: time and quantity. Maybe sometime we will get a feature like that in a future upgrade