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MANIFOLD
On July 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
3
Ṁ1kṀ180
Jul 26
74%
x ≥ 10
65%
x ≥ 20
50%
x ≥ 30
50%
x ≥ 40
50%
x ≥ 50
50%
x ≥ 60
41%
x ≥ 70

Question

On July 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on July 26th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day August 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.

Market context
Middle East
Iran
Israel-Iran Conflict
Iranian Politics
Shipping
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