Question
On July 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Resolution Criteria
Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on July 26th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.
If the data are not available by end of day August 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.
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The 7-Day moving average was 2.
@traders I want to provide a quick update. According to the IMF portal, the data for July 24th through 26th is still currently under review. I will resolve as soon as they update. Feel free to ping me if you notice it's updated before I do.
the open was announced june 19th. This asks for july 26th. The 7 day average would take into account the days from july 19th-july26th. For the the slower ships from the usa, it takes a bit less than a month to reach there so they will reach the straight of hormuz by july 19th. And the usa is one of the most far away countries. so I think some high bets would be reasonable