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MANIFOLD
On April 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
7
Ṁ1kṀ296
Apr 26
72%
x ≥ 2
66%
x ≥ 4
54%
x ≥ 6
49%
x ≥ 8
47%
x ≥ 10
38%
x ≥ 12
29%
x ≥ 14

Question

On April 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on April 26th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day May 26th, I will resolve each market to NA.

Related Markets

Shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

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