On May 24th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
15
Ṁ1kṀ2.2kresolved May 27
Resolved
YESx ≥ 2
Resolved
YESx ≥ 4
Resolved
YESx ≥ 6
Resolved
NOx ≥ 8
Resolved
NOx ≥ 10
Resolved
NOx ≥ 12
Resolved
NOx ≥ 14
Question
On May 24th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Resolution Criteria
Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on May 24th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.
If the data are not available by end of day June 24th, I will resolve each market to NA.
Related Markets
Shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ301 | |
| 2 | Ṁ117 | |
| 3 | Ṁ44 | |
| 4 | Ṁ35 | |
| 5 | Ṁ23 |
People are also trading
Related questions
On July 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
5% chance
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
37% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]
1% chance
More ships through Strait of Hormuz than goals at 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95% chance
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
15% chance
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
87% chance
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
59% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
43% chance
Who will control the Strait of Hormuz on December 1, 2026?