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MANIFOLD
On May 24th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
8
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
May 24
66%
x ≥ 2
51%
x ≥ 4
34%
x ≥ 6
20%
x ≥ 10
19%
x ≥ 8
14%
x ≥ 12
12%
x ≥ 14

Question

On May 24th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on May 24th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day June 24th, I will resolve each market to NA.

Related Markets

Shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Market context
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