
Resolves YES if I receive credible information that @Austin and @RachelWeinberg were engaged to be married as of March 14, 2023. Resolves NO if one of them denies this or I don't hear any convincing evidence by the end of the year.
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Amnonianbought Ṁ200 of YES

Confluxsold Ṁ9 of NO
Derik Kis predicting YES at 97%
It seems like the Manifold staff is quite confident this is the case, but we’ll have to wait for an official announcement or statement to resolve.

Confluxbought Ṁ8 of NO
Clarifying q. Suppose they were not engaged when this market was made, but do get engaged today. How does it resolve?

Confluxbought Ṁ25 of NO
I do think it’s likely they’re engaged, but they could also be planning a proposal, considering it, etc in ways that aren’t “engaged”

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YES payouts
Ṁ2,561
Ṁ1,758
Ṁ1,125
Ṁ1,030
Ṁ553
Ṁ321
Ṁ202
Ṁ201
Ṁ113
Ṁ105
Ṁ104
Ṁ102
Ṁ10
Ṁ10

































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