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@derikk Does Austin’s comment count as credible enough

@Conflux Actually wait, this doesn’t prove they were on March 14

@Conflux Yeah @Austin want to confirm whether the engagement took place before or after pi day?

@derikk pretty sure we got engaged Mar 9 or 10

@Austin To be fair you’d dumped equally large amounts on YES before this ;)

Resolving now!

@Austin you don't remember the exact date, smh my head

@eulerphi was that a mistake?

It seems like the Manifold staff is quite confident this is the case, but we’ll have to wait for an official announcement or statement to resolve.

A wedding invitation would count ;) @RachelWeinberg @Austin

Clarifying q. Suppose they were not engaged when this market was made, but do get engaged today. How does it resolve?

@Conflux Yes

@derikk wait that seems opposite of what the market says.

@jack oh, nvm, the date the comment was posted was the 14th. Carry on

I do think it’s likely they’re engaged, but they could also be planning a proposal, considering it, etc in ways that aren’t “engaged”

@Conflux except @AndrewG is super confident?

he's just hedging

@Conflux I'm hedging against my 30k no shares on them getting married...

@AndrewG and perhaps I should too, but oh the allure of positive expected value

orrrr maybe this is just top-tier market manipulation ;)