Resolves PROB to the score after move 5 of the Manifold Plays Chess 3rd iteration. If the game ends before that move, this market resolves the same as the main game market: /harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch
The score after any move is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the winning conditional market for that move.
Conditional markets for move 5 candidates, which will determine this market's resolution (higher average value from 8am to noon EDT tomorrow March 16):
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-5
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-5-2d8c8d6acc42
Last move 4. Nf3, score 0.709159
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-4
Will advance or delay the closing date as needed, based on the expected resolution of the related markets. See more details and rules for the overall game structure here:
Other moves score oracles:
/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-6-oracle
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 |
5.Nxe4 won with a score of 0.668309.
https://manifold.markets/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-5#Z1Qotk2Yn72R019ResiB
Resolves to PROB=67%
@harfe I think just a bit over .7 but this is a hedge for me I got 150 NO in the previous move
Simplified description better aligns with the title and avoids the issue of the underlying potentially changing its resolution criteria, as described here: https://manifold.markets/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-7-oracle#HdIwMxyeWssvauybYaZ0