Will the breakthrough(s) mentioned in the OpenAI board letter go to history as a pivotal step on the path to AGI?
6
130Ṁ1012035
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES if the orthodox view among scholars is that the breakthrough(s) referred to in the letter was a necessary component on the path AGI. Will resolve to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will it be confirmed before 2026 that there was a letter to the board of OpenAI motivated by AI breakthrough?
7% chance
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
26% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
22% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
52% chance
Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?
58% chance
Did OpenAI make a breakthrough in Q* learning dramatically shortening AGI timelines?
27% chance
Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?
83% chance
Will OpenAI be remembered as the Altavista of AI?
78% chance