Alberta will hold a referendum on independence by December 31, 2025
Alberta will hold a referendum on independence by December 31, 2025
9
100Ṁ1693Dec 31
1.7%
chance
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This market resolves YES if the Government of Alberta officially calls for a referendum on independence before December 31, 2025. Resolution will be based on announcements made by the Alberta government or legislative actions taken regarding the referendum.
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bought Ṁ100 NO1mo
@Seanny123 Daniel Smith is aiming for 2026 https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2162901/smith-alberta-referendum-demandes
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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