MANIFOLD
If Alberta secession referendum before 2029, what percentage vote to leave?
7
Ṁ125Ṁ476
2029
27.8 %
expected
78%
0 - 39.99%
9%
40 - 49.99%
9%
50 - 59.99%
3%
60 - 100%

If there is disagreement over what the correct figure is, I will use the official stats by the relevant Canadian federal government agency, NOT those the Albertan provincial government or the US.

If there is no such referendum before 2029, this market resolves N/A.

If there are multiple options, such as staying part of Canada, becoming independent, or acceding to the US, this market resolves based on the SUM of all options that include no longer being part of Canada.

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