
Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
65
Ṁ6kṀ8.4k2029
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Canadian province of Quebec has held two referenda on independence, one in 1980 which failed with 59.6% voting no, and one in 1995 which failed by a razor-thin margin of 0.6%.
Canada enacted the Clarity Act in 1999 in response to the ambiguous wording of past referenda. The act grants the House of Commons the power to decide if an independence referendum question is worded clearly enough to proceed to a vote, among other stipulations.
Will Quebec hold another referendum on independence before the end of this decade?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
2% chance
Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
5% chance
Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
25% chance
Will Quebec leave Canada before 2040?
9% chance
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
1% chance
Will Amazon ship to Quebec users at the end of 2026?
97% chance
Will Alberta leave Canada before November 2029?
8% chance
Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?
4% chance
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ500 NO at 42% order
Access to this page has been denied
> [PSP] has pledged to hold another referendum on independence, though he has said he would wait until U.S. President Donald Trump is no longer in office.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
2% chance
Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
5% chance
Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
25% chance
Will Quebec leave Canada before 2040?
9% chance
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
1% chance
Will Amazon ship to Quebec users at the end of 2026?
97% chance
Will Alberta leave Canada before November 2029?
8% chance
Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?
4% chance