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Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
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Ṁ6kṀ8.4k
2029
17%
chance

The Canadian province of Quebec has held two referenda on independence, one in 1980 which failed with 59.6% voting no, and one in 1995 which failed by a razor-thin margin of 0.6%.

Canada enacted the Clarity Act in 1999 in response to the ambiguous wording of past referenda. The act grants the House of Commons the power to decide if an independence referendum question is worded clearly enough to proceed to a vote, among other stipulations.

Will Quebec hold another referendum on independence before the end of this decade?

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opened a Ṁ500 NO at 35% order

With a minority government and 28% of the popular vote, there's no way.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 42% order

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> [PSP] has pledged to hold another referendum on independence, though he has said he would wait until U.S. President Donald Trump is no longer in office.

bought Ṁ250 NO

Why would they hold a referendum that's guaranteed to lose?

@AndrewHebb because they said they would?

bought Ṁ50 YES

With the BQ on the rise in federal politics, and the PQ likely to win the next Quebec election, the chances of this are very real.

After capitalism collapses everyone will lose interest in ethnic identity, those things exist because of the government. Without language taught in schools nobody will care.