Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado has claimed to have enough voting records to prove that the opposition candidate Edmundo González won the election in Venezuela and that the victory claimed by Nicolás Maduro is fraudulent: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-29/venezuela-s-machado-says-opposition-has-enough-proof-of-fraud

Machado has made the claimed results available online at: https://resultadospresidencialesvenezuela2024.com/

This market aims to predict whether the Maduro government will produce its own, contradicting set of voting records, supporting Maduro's claimed 51% win.

The produced records need not be proven to be legitimate within the given timeframe, as the legitimacy of any records will likely be a matter of significant contention. It is, however, required that the produced records are consistent with the win claimed by Maduro and that they are sufficiently believable for international observers to consider it a legitimate topic of discussion by the international community whether Maduro really won (i.e. if Maduro just produces obviously fraudulent records, this will resolve NO).

I will hold off on resolving this market if there is significant disagreement over whether the voting records produced by the government, in case they are produced at all, are obviously fraudulent or not.