
If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?
11
1kṀ20202030
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the fight does not happen by the next election, this market will close N/A.
If the fight happens but Maduro wins, this market will close N/A.
Assuming the fight happens, I will choose the "winner" based on my evaluation of American or international news sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Maduro have a trial in USA during 2026?
51% chance
Will Trump and Maduro meet in person?
20% chance
Will former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
9% chance
Will Nicolás Maduro still be president on the March equinox in 2026?
3% chance
Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
30% chance
Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?
1% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?
30% chance
End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
53% chance
Maduro back in power before 2030?
13% chance
Will Maduro be released before 2027?
15% chance