Will the USA housing market crash before 2024?
44
970แน8567resolved May 28
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Resolves based on the CSUSHPINSA (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/csushpinsa).
Will it decline at least 15% from its peak of 308.47 at any time before the end of 2023?
Resolves YES as soon as the index is below 262.20 for any month in 2022 or 2023. NO if December 2023 is released and this condition has not been met.
Based on a prediction from https://www.themotte.org/post/133/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/20455?context=8#context
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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