Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?
Basic
2
Ṁ25
2026
47%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve based on the Zillow Home Values Index (ZHVI) and specifically the "ZHVI All Homes (SFR, Condo/Co-op) Time Series, Smoothed, Seasonally Adjusted($)" data type for "Metro & U.S.". It will resolve as Yes if the relative change of the ZHVI for the United States from November 2024 to November 2025 is greater than the relative change from November 2023 to November 2024, when adjusted for inflation.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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