Will Starship–SuperHeavy IFT-3 launch on the first attempt?
39
114
Ṁ65KṀ800
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
A launch attempt is defined in terms of a SpaceX official live stream going live and showing a countdown and views of the Starship–SuperHeavy vehicle, and intended to broadcast coverage of a launch to space.
Launch is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under the thrust from its engines.
If, upon the first attempt, the vehicle launches before the live stream ends, this market resolves YES. If the live stream ends without a launch, it resolves NO.
Market remains open until the next launch attempt of a Starship–SuperHeavy vehicle, whether it is called "IFT-3" or not, and resolves NA if the development of the vehicle as we know it is abandoned.
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