Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur on April 21st, 2023?
Mini
33
18k
resolved Apr 20
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt copied from this market.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

April 21st refers to local time at the launch site.

Note: if there is a successful launch or vehicle destruction prior to the 21st, I will resolve this market NO immediately.

This week:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-0becacaa1884

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-1bf5c0002512

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-bd3fb4f7bd63

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-a5458089285c (you are here)

Weekend:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-035a6a8cb650

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-d4d54a56a663

Next week:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-d3841fc5bf50

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-623e7aec9a99

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-02945bdee2d7

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-69d0bd609254

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-af11b75d3277

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Starship is filled over 50% today, so due to boiloff losses and such, supposedly they can't launch tomorrow even if they scrub now.