Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur on April 18th, 2023?
Basic
34
Ṁ21k
resolved Apr 18
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt copied from this market.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

April 18th refers to local time at the launch site.


Note: if there is a successful launch or vehicle destruction prior to the 18th, I will resolve this market NO immediately.


/chrisjbillington/will-starships-orbital-test-flight

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/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-0becacaa1884 (you are here)

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-1bf5c0002512

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-bd3fb4f7bd63

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-a5458089285c

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Close time was set earlier than I intended due to a timezone conversation mistake, nonetheless resolving NO rather than reopening as it's clear no attempt is possible today. I've adjusted the close time of the remaining markets to midnight in Texas.

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