
Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt copied from this market.
For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.
I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.
April 18th refers to local time at the launch site.
Note: if there is a successful launch or vehicle destruction prior to the 18th, I will resolve this market NO immediately.
/chrisjbillington/will-starships-orbital-test-flight
/chrisjbillington/will-starships-orbital-flight-test
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-0becacaa1884 (you are here)
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-1bf5c0002512
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-bd3fb4f7bd63
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-a5458089285c
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ187 | |
2 | Ṁ77 | |
3 | Ṁ65 | |
4 | Ṁ62 | |
5 | Ṁ50 |