Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur on April 19th, 2023?
32
42
610
resolved Apr 20
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt copied from this market.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

April 19th refers to local time at the launch site.

Note: if there is a successful launch or vehicle destruction prior to the 19th, I will resolve this market NO immediately.

This week:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-0becacaa1884

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-1bf5c0002512 (you are here)

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-bd3fb4f7bd63

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-a5458089285c

Weekend:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-035a6a8cb650

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-d4d54a56a663

Next week:

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-d3841fc5bf50

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-623e7aec9a99
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-02945bdee2d7

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-69d0bd609254

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-af11b75d3277

Get Ṁ200 play money

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