Will Starship's orbital test flight launch before 7:05AM, local time, on April 17th 2023?
15
58
290
resolved Apr 17
Resolved
NO

Starship's orbital test flight is currently scheduled for (no earlier than) Monday, April 17th, and the launch window opens at 7AM local time in Texas.

This market resolves YES if Starship launches within the first five minutes of the window.

For the purposes of this market, "launch" means engine ignition and holdown clamps being released, regardless of whether the vehicle clears the pad.

I will be watching the official livestream and time.is, and will assume for the purposes of determining time of launch that there is no delay in the livestream that I personally am watching (my internet connection is good, though!). If it is too close to call, I will resolve N/A. If my internet breaks or it becomes apparent that there was an unreasonable amount of delay in the stream, I will resolve using an alternative source of information to the best of my ability or N/A if it cannot be clearly determined.

If the launch window changes for some reason, this market still resolves based on whether launch occurs prior to 7:05AM on Monday, rather than within the first 5 minutes of the changed window.

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