When will Wikipedia refer to Hamas in the past tense?
Plus
11
Ṁ4932028
1.7%
2023
4%
H1 2024
6%
H2 2024
8%
H1 2025
8%
H2 2025
9%
2026
12%
2027
50%
Not before 2028
Resolves to the date on which the Wikipedia article on Hamas, rather than starting with "Hamas [etc etc] is", as it currently does, instead starts with "Hamas [etc etc] was", and I am satisfied that this is not vandalism or part of an edit war.
I'll wait one month to ensure it isn't reverted, then the market will resolve to the date, in UTC, on which the change was made.
This one month period is a necessary but not sufficient criterion for resolution - I still need to be satisfied that it is a deliberate and permanent change, which may require judgement.
Resolves N/A if the Wikipedia article on Hamas ceases to exist before referring to Hamas in the past tense.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will the current Israel-Hamas War end?
In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict
When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end?
By 2025, will Israel claim that Hamas is no longer active in the Gaza Strip?
28% chance
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
49% chance
Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]
66% chance
Discourse 2024: Hamas largely destroyed?
65% chance
Will Hamas be eradicated by 2025?
13% chance
Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
37% chance
Will Hamas surrender in 2024?
7% chance