By when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?

Ṁ100Ṁ131

2100

ALL

55%

Before 2045

42%

Before 2040

34%

Before 2035

29%

Before 2030

This market will resolve when Wikipedia ceases to have a page "Gaza genocide". If the article is retitled, deleted, or redirects to something else, this will trigger resolution.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_genocide

People are welcome to add new answers. Anything that is not a date will be automatically N/A'd.

Market context

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Palestine

Gaza

Wikipedia

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

33% chance

By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"?

If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?

67% chance

When will Wikipedia refer to Hamas in the past tense?

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

3% chance

What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Sort by:

My god you really created an identically bad second market on this.

All that feedback and you think that this was the best framing of the market still? Maybe you’ve had your head in a microwave before

@Magnify Make your own market. Or if you want suggest another market that I should make. I have a third one with even stricter criteria: https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/by-when-will-wikipedia-stop-conside