By when will the second Starship–Superheavy test flight launch? [Ṁ1k subsidy] [ !! sort by Low % !!]
112
8.5kṀ280k
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES
Dec 1st
Resolved
YES
Dec 8th
Resolved
YES
Nov 20th
Resolved
YES
Nov 19th
Resolved
YES
Nov 24th
Resolved
YES
Nov 18th
Resolved
YES
Dec 22nd
Resolved
YES
Dec 15th
Resolved
NO
Nov 17th
Resolved
NO
Nov 13th
Resolved
NO
Nov 14th
Resolved
NO
Nov 15th
Resolved
NO
Nov 16th

!!! Sort by Low % !!!

The next Starship integrated flight test is (possibly) nearly upon us! SpaceX is reportedly working towards a launch No Earlier Than (NET) November 13th 15th 17th 18th, pending regulatory approval.

Resolves YES for the date, local time in Texas, on which the second Starship–Superheavy integrated test flight launches, YES for all later dates, and NO for all earlier dates.

"Launch" means ignition and release of hold-down clamps, subsequent events irrelevant.

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.

More dates will be added based on vibes and plausible schedules and rumours.

Edit Nov 3rd: added the remaining weekdays of the week of Nov 13th
Edit Nov 8th: added Nov 18th
Edit Nov 8th: changed the definition of "launch". It turns out that the launch clamps may be released well in advance of ignition, such that they should not be used as part of the defintion of "launch"

Edit Nov 13th: Added Nov 19th and 20th

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