The incorrectly re-resolved answer has now been fixed! Thanks @JamesGrugett and @Eliza for the help. Profits should now be correct.

We are deploying the forensic accountants. They're on their way back from Mars.

Seems like it’s only affected my leagues profit. Down to silver for me during my best month ever 😂

@NGK Hopefully they can fix it before end of the season. It's the weekend now, but let's see what admins say when they're back at work. Discord thread here: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1175435915083128942

Nov 17 got resolved Yes for some reason

@NGK This should not have happened. Didn't I already resolve it NO earlier today? I ran a script to bet on and resolve remaining answers, and I left in the 17th by accident, but the API should not have allowed me to do that! I'll ask for this to be re-resolved (and for the 14k mana I bet YES on it to be returned, hopefully?)

@chrisjbillington Oh weird seems like you managed to also find an API bug

@NGK Does anyone have a record that I did in fact resolve the 17th NO earlier today? I thought I did it when you asked me to a few hours ago.

@chrisjbillington Here, it was 11:29 CET

@chrisjbillington Also this.

@Irigi Thank you! I will ask admins for help fixing the problem.

Edit: bug reported on discord. Sorry for the screw-up, folks.

"rapid unscheduled disasembly"

Bit of a meme market but should be fun

So excited. Have to wake up 4 hours after launch but who cares!

Propellant load underway:

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1725837690065834250

And now the upper stage:

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1725842597095395543

Some 80% no limit orders for 18/19th if anything wants them.

Resolve 17th Nov?

Spacex's launch page now saying:

The second flight test of a fully integrated Starship is set to launch Saturday, November 18. A twenty-minute launch window opens at 7:00 a.m. CT.

@chrisjbillington 20 minute launch window seems pretty small. Any hold like last time seems like it will stop the launch.

@NGK Once the vehicle is loaded with propellant, I'm pretty sure they have to launch within some time less than 20m anyway, otherwise too much propellant bpils off and they'll have to scrub and spend 48h detanking and retanking. So a hold late in the count like last time won't be any more of a problem than it would be with a 2h window. But the short launch window will mean they can't tolerate delays prior to propellant loading either.

@chrisjbillington Would you be willing to make a few entries for time of day on the 17th? That could actually be useful info at this point.

@BoltonBailey How about on the 18th too!

@Eliza Yeah lol 17th went from 75% to 0% in an hour, was there an announcement?

@BoltonBailey Local residents reporting that they've been told they're not evacuating tonight.

@chrisjbillington Damn it, "conflicting info" now

@chrisjbillington But SpaceX is moving in the equipment needed for a destack - so it looks like there'll be a destack.

@BoltonBailey @Eliza , Do you think time-of-day is particularly interesting? The launch window is only two hours long.

@BoltonBailey @Eliza

Resolve % increases by 10% for each 12 minutes after 5min 59 sec into launch window

so that

0 to 5 min 59sec into launch window resolves 0%

6 min to 17 min 59sec into launch window resolves 10%

...

114 min to end of window resolves 100%

If not launched wait for next launch window.

This is cheaper than 11 multichoice answers.

Does that sound reasonable?

I agree, I don't think time of day is particularly interesting given the launch window is 2 hours.

@jack If the window is 2 hours that sounds like a separate question that people might be live betting on, rather than "what date"

@Eliza

"The second flight test of a fully integrated Starship is set to launch Saturday, November 18. A twenty-minute launch window opens at 7:00 a.m. CT."

https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-flight-2

20 mins only!