1,000Related questions
What is your P(doom)?
POLL
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?
35% chance
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?
58% chance
What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2025?
30% chance
What's the p(doom) of monkeys?
13% chance
P(Doom) - Emmett Shear
Will the next president state a P(doom)?
Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
6% chance
What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?
41% chance
Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
18% chance