What is your P(doom)? | Manifold

What is your P(doom)?

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resolved Apr 20

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Final outcome:

Over what time period?

@AndrewHebb ever

@chris And how exactly do you define doom?

@AndrewHebb go with your gut.

People are also trading

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

What's the p(doom) of monkeys?

Will the next president state a P(doom)?

Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

Eliezer Yudkowsky p(Doom) stock

Related questions

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

What's the p(doom) of monkeys?

Will the next president state a P(doom)?

Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

Eliezer Yudkowsky p(Doom) stock