Will Tower write his infamous conversion post by August?
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resolved Aug 4
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This market resolves to YES if, by 08/01/22, Tower has publicly posted an essay of at least 100 words purporting to explain the rationale for his conversion to Catholicism.
It is acceptable if the post is not intended to be the entire explanation, so long as it claims to be at least half (so, one post of a two-post series counts).
The ultimate arbiter here is whether Tower himself agrees that the post in question is the conversion post which he has been intending to write.
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