Will Republicans rate the economy positively before the end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ2282026
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question, filtered for Republican responses: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"
Civiqs polling has historically shown a strong relationship between partisan affiliation and rating of the economy. For example, here is a New York Times graphic of Civiqs polling:
If polled Republicans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time in 2025, this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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