Will Republicans rate the economy positively before the end of 2025?
7
100Ṁ4292026
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question, filtered for Republican responses: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"
Civiqs polling has historically shown a strong relationship between partisan affiliation and rating of the economy. For example, here is a New York Times graphic of Civiqs polling:
If polled Republicans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time in 2025, this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
50% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
46% chance
US Recession in 2025?
45% chance
Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
52% chance
Will Republican approval of the economy skyrocket to 80%+ in 2025?
70% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
24% chance
Will Congress extend lower tax rates for individuals by the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will Congress extend lower tax rates for individuals by the end of 2025?
71% chance
Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2025?
2% chance