This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question, filtered for Republican responses: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"

Civiqs polling has historically shown a strong relationship between partisan affiliation and rating of the economy. For example, here is a New York Times graphic of Civiqs polling:

If polled Republicans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time in 2025, this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.

See also: