This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question, filtered for Republican responses: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"

If Republican approval jumps to 80% or higher before the end of 2025 according to Civiqs, this question resolves YES, and otherwise resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.

Civiqs polling has historically shown a strong relationship between partisan affiliation and rating of the economy. For example, here is a New York Times graphic of Civiqs polling:

When Donald Trump was elected US President in 2017, approval jumped from around -70% to nearly +80% (note that the NYTimes infographic uses 0-100% instead of -100 to +100%):

Will Republican economic sentiment skyrocket again in 2025?

See also: