Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major science fiction magazine by 2024?
52
980Ṁ3623resolved Jan 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves "YES" if there is a credible claim that a story published in a major science fiction magazine was authored by AI before 00:00 UTC on Jan 1, 2024.
An SF magazine will be considered "major" if it has a Wikipedia page or appears on the list https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_science_fiction_magazines.
Dec 5, 3:52pm: Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major SF magazine by 2024? → Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major science fiction magazine by 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ903 | |
| 2 | Ṁ120 | |
| 3 | Ṁ115 | |
| 4 | Ṁ109 | |
| 5 | Ṁ81 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
30% chance
Will an AI write anything that interests me enough to want to keep reading it by June 2025?
11% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
41% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
66% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
65% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will a major publishing house release a collection of poetry fully written by an AI by 2025?
78% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel focusing on AI in 2024?
3% chance
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
15% chance
Will there be a blockbuster movie in the US before the end of 2025 that is acknowledged as written by AI
10% chance