
Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major science fiction magazine by 2024?
52
980Ṁ3623resolved Jan 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves "YES" if there is a credible claim that a story published in a major science fiction magazine was authored by AI before 00:00 UTC on Jan 1, 2024.
An SF magazine will be considered "major" if it has a Wikipedia page or appears on the list https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_science_fiction_magazines.
Dec 5, 3:52pm: Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major SF magazine by 2024? → Will an AI-authored short story be published in a major science fiction magazine by 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ903 | |
2 | Ṁ120 | |
3 | Ṁ115 | |
4 | Ṁ109 | |
5 | Ṁ81 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
76% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
65% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
64% chance
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
15% chance
Will there be a blockbuster movie in the US before the end of 2025 that is acknowledged as written by AI
10% chance
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
33% chance
Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
14% chance
will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
74% chance