What percentage of Manifold users will consider themselves "woke" on Nov 1, 2024?
Basic
14
αΉ1.1kSep 2
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On Oct. 15 2024 I will start a poll and link it here.
The poll will consist of a single question:
"Do you consider yourself woke?" (Yes/No/Show me results)
This market will resolve to the Yes/(Yes+No) percentage of the poll at the end of the day on Nov 1, 2024.
I will refrain from trading and commenting. Please refrain from culture war in the comments. π (If it gets heated I will block users who engage in ad-hominem.)
Get αΉ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
At the beginning of 2025, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
67% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
65% chance
Will over 10% of Manifold users believe that Christianity is true at the end of 2024?
65% chance
At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
77% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
51% chance
Will Manifold be significantly more politically correct in a year? (starting July 2023)
34% chance
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance