Conditional on one of these people winning the US election, which will it be? [Biden/Trump/RFK/Haley/Phillips/West]
➕
Plus
31
Ṁ9420
resolved Nov 7
100%98%
Donald Trump
1.7%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.1%
Nikki Haley
0.1%
Dean Phillips
0.1%
Cornel West

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Fun
#Unsubsidized
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Similarly to this market https://manifold.markets/getby/2024-us-presidential-election-winne?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4, we will have to N/A if none of these options resolve YES. this means the probabilities displayed by this market are not reliable and cannot be straightforwardly arbitraged with other similar markets. I encourage you all to instead bet on a market like

View original context

This should N/A. Kamala Harris and others are not here and we can't add options

Similarly to this market https://manifold.markets/getby/2024-us-presidential-election-winne?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4, we will have to N/A if none of these options resolve YES. this means the probabilities displayed by this market are not reliable and cannot be straightforwardly arbitraged with other similar markets. I encourage you all to instead bet on a market like

bought Ṁ500 YES

I renamed the title, and am unlisting it. We make it clear that this market is a conditional market and will N/A if it is not one of the people listed in the title.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules