Conditional on one of these people winning the US election, which will it be? [Biden/Trump/RFK/Haley/Phillips/West]
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionPoliticsFunUnsubsidized
Basic
26
Ṁ4.4k
Nov 7
5%
Joe Biden
93%
Donald Trump
0.4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.4%
Nikki Haley
0.4%
Dean Phillips
0.4%
Cornel West

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Similarly to this market https://manifold.markets/getby/2024-us-presidential-election-winne?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4, we will have to N/A if none of these options resolve YES. this means the probabilities displayed by this market are not reliable and cannot be straightforwardly arbitraged with other similar markets. I encourage you all to instead bet on a market like

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This should N/A. Kamala Harris and others are not here and we can't add options

Similarly to this market https://manifold.markets/getby/2024-us-presidential-election-winne?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4, we will have to N/A if none of these options resolve YES. this means the probabilities displayed by this market are not reliable and cannot be straightforwardly arbitraged with other similar markets. I encourage you all to instead bet on a market like

bought Ṁ500 Donald Trump YES

I renamed the title, and am unlisting it. We make it clear that this market is a conditional market and will N/A if it is not one of the people listed in the title.

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