Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?

Question

The Supreme Court's 2026-2027 term will end in June 2027. This market resolves YES if the Supreme Court grants certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case (which is generally called NTHP vs Trump) before the end of the 2026-2027 term. Resolution will be determined by checking the Supreme Court's official docket at supremecourt.gov for a granted petition in the case. If no petition is granted by the end of that term, the market resolves NO.

See also: https://manifold.markets/bens/how-will-the-white-house-ballroom-c

and: https://manifold.markets/bens/will-congress-pass-legislation-expl?r=YmVucw

See also: https://manifold.markets/bens/how-will-the-white-house-ballroom-c

and: https://manifold.markets/bens/will-congress-pass-legislation-expl?r=YmVucw

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 44% chance (8 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).

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