Will Manifold solve my puzzle?
7
1kṀ229
Dec 31
49%
chance

The solution to the puzzle is a sequence of five letters.

Let's say you're submitting an answer on November 5th, and you wanted to submit "XABDU" as your solution, you would write a comment: "11/5/25: XABDU".

Please do not try to brute-force this. Each user gets one guess per calendar day, I'm not going to check every single time stamp diligently so don't abuse this rule or I will block you from the market and be sad.

I will check the market once per day (don't worry if I forget or skip a day, I'm human) at a random-ish time. If the value of the market is below 50%, I will give a single hint, which I will compile in the description over time. If the value of the market is above 50% (inclusive), I will not give a hint.

I think this puzzle will be hard. The more time that passes without hints, the less likely you will be to solve it. I anticipate that you will need at least ten hints to solve it, possibly far more. You might need to collaborate. You have until the end of the year!

Hint 1: Portugal


EVERYTHING BELOW THIS LINE IS AI SUMMARY GIBBERISH


  • Update 2025-11-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not reply to every guess. If there is no reply to a guess, assume it is not correct.

  • Update 2025-11-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Incorrect guesses will be acknowledged with a like from the creator (rather than a written reply). If there is no response to a guess, assume it is incorrect.

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11/3/25: CRAVO

11/3/25: IBERO

I'll probably just like the comments to let y'all know I've read them and that they're not correct.

11/5/25: Nunes

@ItsMe guys it's also 11/3/25 today lol

@bens lol whoops didnt even think about that

reposted

let's get it

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 20% order

11/3/25: porto

@Stralor haha, not correct. Also, I probably (hopefully) will not be able to reply to every guess, so if I don't reply, I guess everyone should assume it's not correct.

@bens a little tricky with "I'll check once a day" but I like the speculation that could cause

@bens anyway, excited to see how this plays out. I woulda been bummed if I bet NO, was the only trader, and guessed it first shot

@Stralor FWIW I anticipate that the puzzle is challenging enough that when someone gets it right, it will be obvious to others because ppl will have been collaborating on the best approach to solving it for a while!

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