1,000Related questions
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
15% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
76% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?
84% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?
72% chance
Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
27% chance
Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
60% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
64% chance
Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?
22% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
45% chance
Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?
33% chance