Will the median prediction for Metaculus' General AI forecast be earlier than June 2027 at the end of 2022?
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Ṁ323Ṁ2.1kresolved Jan 2
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Market in question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-system-is-devised/ ("Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known")
Resolves YES if the Community Prediction for this forecast is May 31, 2027 or earlier, as measured on Dec 31, 2022.
Current community forecast at time of market creation is Feb 29, 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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