By which years will AI + scaffolding be shown to have a better log loss than the Metaculus community prediction on <= 1 year predictions?

Does not necessarily need to be evaluated on every Metaculus question, just a representative sample of Metaculus questions not selected to favor the AI with at least 20 unique predictors. Resolves to years where AI+scaffolding has been shown to have a better log loss anytime before the end of that year (including previous years).

I will not trade on this market.