Ukraine war outlasts Trump's presidency?
10
100Ṁ229
2029
44%
chance

  • Update 2025-08-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A prolonged ceasefire without a treaty does not count as the war ending; the war must be really over to be considered ended for this market.

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Does a prolonged ceasefire without a treaty count as ending the war? I assume no?

@ElijahRavitzCampbell This would not count. The war has to be really over.

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