Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president?
40
146
790
2030
26%
chance

Market resolves yes if Zelenskyy is still the president of Ukraine while Putin is not president of Russia anymore, and no if it's the other way around.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Putin's already 71, six years over the life expectancy for russian men.

bought Ṁ150 of YES

Ukrainan law currently prohibits holding elections during wartime. It also prohibits negotiations with Putin. Thus, it seems that, under current law, Zelenskyy cannot be replaced while Putin is in power.

predicts NO

Predict zelensky to step down after the war, while Putin hangs on for six months until couped.

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